Monday, June 6, 2011

Market Updates 07 Jun11

Market Updates03 Jun11

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Market Outlook »

Nifty may trade in 5,434-5,608 range.The policy inaction from the government and the probable future charge sheets and more revelations on account of 2G probe

will continue to keep the market at bay and a decisive break out of 5600 levels looks tough. Pharma, we believe, is likely to outperform over the next two quarters on account of non-cyclicality and good volume growth registered by the sector. Technically, market is likely to find support at 5,450 & 5,420 levels and would face resistance at 5,550 & 5,640 levels.

 

Technical Calls »

 

Buy Advanta India 238.35 target 245

Buy BHEL 1911.65 target 1950

Buy Jubilant Food 160.00 target 170

More

 

Momentum Calls »

Buy IGL 337.00 target 345

Buy MIC Electronics 17.90 target 20

Buy IFB 110.00 target 120

More

 

 

Investment » 
Berger Paints India

 

Investment rationale

 

> The company is planning to acquire a construction products company to expand its operations. It intends is to improve its

sales and profit. Berger Paints is planning to sell the construction products through its channels.

 

> Encouraged by the success of its franchise model of business in Tamil Nadu, Berger Paints India plans to open 300 such

stores by 2013. Over the last one year, 50 franchise stores have been in operation in Tamil Nadu. The company expects that

Rs 1 billion additional turnover can be raked in from this new retail initiative over the next two years.

 

> BPIL plans to invest about Rs 3.50 billion to launch a paint manufacturing complex at Hindupur in Anantapur district of

Andhra Pradesh. The government of Andhra Pradesh has allotted 48 acres of land for the proposed project. The complex will

include a 1.5 lakh kilolitres plant to manufacture water based paint. BPIL plans to invest about Rs 2 billion in the plant

and to invest a further amount of Rs 1 billion to scale up the capacity to 3 lakh kilolitres over a five-year term.

 

> The company is establishing an automotive and industrial paints factory having a capacity of 50 kilo liter a year. The

facility will be located at Jejuri near Pune in Maharashtra, and will entail an investment of Rs 750 million. In addition,

Berger is expanding the capacity of its Goa plant by 72 kilo liter a year and the capacity of its plant located in West

Bengal by 60 kilo liter a year. On completion of the expansion plan, the company will have a total capacity of 4 lakh mtpa.

 

> For the year-ended March 31, 2011, the company`s net profit increased by 25% to Rs 1.50 billion from Rs 1.20 billion in

the previous fiscal year on the back of 23% surge in net sales at Rs 18.91 billion.

 

> Margins during the period under review were in line with that of the previous year. Going forward rising raw material cost

is a cause of concern for the company; in order to restrict margin pressure the company sees price increase of 8-10% in the

current fiscal.

 

Indian Overseas Bank (IOB)

 

Investment rationale

 

> IOB plans to scale up the overseas contributions in its business from the existing 10% to 15% this fiscal. The bank is

also planning to open branches in Dubai and China and also planning to expand its operations to Africa, Australia and New

Zealand. IOB, along with Bank of Baroda and Andhra Bank, is planning to set up a new bank in Malaysia.

 

> The management expects 25-30% growth in advances and deposits in FY12. Total business grew from Rs 195.77 billion at the

end of March 10 to Rs 259.02 billion at the end of March 11 recording growth of 35% on y-o-y basis. Deposits outperformed

the industry and grew by 31% from Rs 1,107.95 billion at the end of March 10 to Rs 1,452.29 billion at the end of FY11.

Advances grew by 41% to Rs 1,137.91 billion at the end of March 11 as against Rs 807.82 billion in the corresponding

previous year.

 

> NIM for the quarter and the year improved from 2.74% for FY10 to 3.11% for FY11. NIM for the quarter stood at 3.16% as

against 2.84% in the corresponding previous quarter. Management expects NIM to be around 3% in FY12. The increase in saving

account interest rates by 50 bps to 4% will have 3-5 bps effect on NIM.

 

> Gross NPA has declined by 14% on y-o-y basis and 5% on q-o-q basis to Rs 30.89 billion. The % GNPA has slipped to 2.72% as

against 4.47% a year ago and 3.26% a quarter ago. The Net NPA on the contrary, has declined by 33% on y-o-y basis and 11% on

q-o-q basis to Rs 13.28 billion. The NNPA stood at 1.19% against 2.52% a year ago and 1.51% a quarter ago. Going ahead,

management plans to reduce GNPA to the tune of 2000 for FY12.

 

(Source SMC Global)

 

 

 

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Disclaimer : This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. And not soliciting any action based upon it. The report is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon such. We or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report


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