Thursday, May 26, 2011

Market Updates 27 May11

Market Updates 27 May11

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Market Outlook »

 

Nifty must stay above 5370 with volumes and open interest.

The coming session is likely to witness a resistance at the 5395 levels on advances. Support is likely at the 5300 levels below which the 5285 maybe seen.The Nifty must stay above the 5370 levels sustainably with volumes and open interest expansion On the flip side, sustaining below the 5350 levels may trigger a fresh bout of declines.

 

Technical Calls »

Buy Cairn India 338.00 target 350

Buy Polaris 183.00 target 190

Buy Shivvani Oil 251.00 target 260

More

 

Momentum Calls »

Buy Guj. Alkalis 140.00 target 150

Buy Orchid Chemical 272.00 target 285

Buy Hanung Toys 164.35 target 175

More

 

Investment »

HSIL 

HSIL is setting up a Greenfield sanitaryware facility atGujarat with a capacity of 1.2 mn pieces, operational in Q3FY13. Company is also expanding capacity at its existing sanitaryware plants by 1 mn pieces. The 

 

Investment »

DLF 

DLF maintained steady execution momentum over FY11. Total delivery in 4QFY11 was 3.4msf v/s 1msf in 3QFY11. The company expects to deliver over 12msf of projects in Gurgaon, Kolkata and Channai in FY12 and 

 

Corporate Report » 
PFC 

We** lower loan CAGR; margin to be stable. *Delay in power projects due to environmental clearance and supply-linkage issues, and higher interest rates is likely to result in slower loan offtake by power companies. We reduce our FY11-13e loan CAGR to 22% from 25%. High capital base due to FPO, ECB, issuance of tax-free infra bonds and repricing of loans worth `81bn vs. liabilities of `89bn in FY12 are likely to 

 

Analyst Corner » 
Residential 

We expect a challenging six months with low volumes followed by a 15-20% correction in prices. We are unlikely to see a steeper correction, which the stocks are already factoring in, as the economy continues to do well while developers in general are in better financial health unlike in 2008-09. A 15% correction in Mumbai will bring the rise in property prices of the last six years in line with income growth

 

Stock Watch


JK Lakshmi Cements 

For 4QFY2011, JK Lakshmi Cements registered a 6.2% yoy decline in its top line to Rs 4.14 billion primarily due to a 5% decline in dispatches to 1.33mn tonnes. Cement realisations also declined by 1.3% yoy to Rs 3,112 per tonne. However, on a sequential basis, realisations were higher by 7.6%. On the operating front, the company`s profit declined by 456bp yoy to 18.6% due to lower realisations and higher power, fuel and freight costs. On the bottom-line front, the company`s net profit fell by 54.4% yoy to Rs 320 million. We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a target price of Rs 66.

 

Stock of the Week


IRB Infra 

IRB has guided for a 15-20% growth in consolidated revenues. E&C margin for FY12E to remain robust at 22-24% (our erstwhile estimates were 21.2%).4QFY11 APAT (+ 76%yoy) above exp. - Better than provisionalAPAT. APAT at Rs 1.58 billion adjusting for Rs 550 million one off mark to market loss & reversal of tax benefit allowed. Toll collection on Tumkur to start in June 11, on Kolhapur project by July 11. Goa project stuck on land acquisition issues. Project unlikely to see execution in FY12E.

 

 

Calls Reviews


Pantaloon given at 241 Achieved 260 

Coromandel given at 315 Achieved 327 

Canbank given at 523 Achieved 531 

TCS given at 1152 Achieved 1182 

Wockhardt given at 346 Achieved 372 

Bhel given at 2068 Achieved 2108 

Hercules Hoist given at 227 Achieved 239 

HDFC given at 630 Achieved 650 

Shriram Trans given at 639 Achieved 685 

Emami given at 407 Achieved 434 

Shalimar Paints given at 407 Achieved 475 

Bajaj Finserv given at 495 Achieved 528 

Muthoot given at 133 Achieved 138 

Adani given at 626 Achieved 662 

IRB given at 161 Achieved 167 

Tata Motors given at 1208 Achieved 1234 

Vikas Global given at 81 Achieved 84 

Ranbaxy given at 478 Achieved 497 

ShreeGanesh given at 252 Achieved 278 

 

 

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Disclaimer : This report is for the personal information of the authorized recipient and does not construe to be any investment, legal or taxation advice to you. And not soliciting any action based upon it. The report is based upon information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon such. We or any of its affiliates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report


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